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Independence Day special deals!

Saturday, July 2, 2011

ASSI is always on the prowl for good deals and here are a few:

Expedia APAC presents the 7 Day Sydney Sale! Right now, you can save up to 50% on select hotel stays.

7 Day Sydney Sale! Save up to 50% on select hotel bookings! - Starts 05/07/11 - Ends 11/07/11 (11:59PM AEST)


Brickhouse Security has the latest in Surveillance, GPS Tracking, Spy Gear, Security Cameras, Counter Surveillance, Child Safety & more!


Save $11 on any order at BrickHouseSecurity.com when you purchase over $100! Code: BRICK100. Offer Ends 7/31.

Save $27 on any order at BrickHouseSecurity.com when you purchase over $250! Code: BRICK250. Offer Ends 7/31.

Save $39 on any order at BrickHouseSecurity.com when you purchase over $350! Code: BRICK350. Offer Ends 7/31.

EyeSave Sunglasses: Shop and be sure to take advantage of great offers in honor of Independence Day!



Happy shopping!

Silver: Price formed another lower high.

Staying cautious on silver has been the right thing to do. The declining 50dMA seems on track to forming a dead cross with the 100dMA in the near future with silver's price forming another lower high this week, closing the week at US$ 33.70 an ounce.


All eyes are on the 200dMA and whether silver's price could stay above this long term moving average. If the support holds up, we could see bulls coming back with a vengeance. If the support breaks, the bears could have a field day. The 200dMA is currently at US$ 31.71 an ounce.

A quick look at the weekly chart shows that the uptrend is still intact although the momentum has clearly weakened. RSI has gone under 50% which was acting as support. A lower low on the MACD is a forgone conclusion although it is currently still in positive territory.


I am maintaining the status quo. This is a time of waiting and could be a most unbearable period. A time to add to long positions would come and that is probably when the supports provided by the longer term MAs hold up. Till then, I just have to sit tight.

Related post:
Silver: Trying to find a base.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: 2nd AGM.

Northtech
Some readers are concerned that I am divesting my investment in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT. Is there a change in its fundamentals? Is it going down from here?

 
I did blog about my reasons for partially divesting my investment in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT. In a nutshell, I am just re-balancing my portfolio to reduce over-exposure to this REIT. It is a risk management exercise, nothing more.

 If my total portfolio size were twice or thrice as large as it is now, I would probably not reduce my investment in the REIT. I could, in fact, increase my long position in the REIT. Now, how's that for re-assurance?

 The presentation at the second AGM shows a robust set of numbers:

Earnings per unit: 2.75c
Gearing: 31.9%
Interest cover ratio: 4.9x
No debt due until October 2013.

27 Penjuru Lane

What I would like to see is the REIT increasing the share of high tech space and better quality logistics buildings in its portfolio. Currently, high tech space account for only 17.7% of its portfolio.

Although its acquisition of 27 Penjuru Lane and 29 Woodlands Industrial Park E1 (Northtech) are steps in the right direction, it has to do more and stay vigilant, looking out for more yield accretive purchases.

The management also plans to carry out asset enhancements for selected properties in the year 2012. I like this since many of the REIT's properties have yet to take advantage of their plot ratios to the maximum. So, even without further acquisitions, we could see the REIT's distributable income increasing with asset enhancements.

After two years, this REIT seems well managed by the team from AIMS and AMP Capital and my leap of faith has paid off nicely so far. I look forward to more good news in future.

Substantial shareholders:
AMP Capital Investors (Luxembourg No. 4) S.A.R.L. 15.35%
Dragon Pacific Assets Limited 11.98%
APG Algemene Pensioen Groep N.V. 9.42%
Universities Superannuation Scheme Limited 8.19%
George Wang 7.19%

See presentation slides here.

My very first blog post on the REIT in December 2009:
AIMS-AMP Capital Industrial REIT (MI-REIT).

Related posts:
AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and Sabana REIT.
Balancing AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and Sabana REIT.
Mr. Market is always right.

Perry Ellis: 40% discount storewide!

Friday, July 1, 2011

Perry Ellis 120x600 Women's SwimwearPerry Ellis brings a new look to American sportswear, elevating casual clothing to designer status, while always maintaining great prices.

From now till 4th of July, Perry Ellis is offering 40% discount storewide!

Yes! 40% Off ENTIRE ORDER with promo code PEJULY40.

Visit their online store today:

CitySpring Infrastructure Trust: Rights issue.

Thursday, June 30, 2011


I divested my investment in CitySpring Infrastructure Trust last year in October. At that time, the Trust was trading at 60.5c/unit. Long regarded the investment as a mistake, the divestment was premised upon the Trust's weak fundamentals and relatively low distribution yield.

The Trust's last done price was 53.5c/unit today and its managers announced a rights issue to raise about $210.2 million in gross proceeds to strengthen its balance sheet. Each unitholder will be asked to buy 11 new CitySpring units for every 20 held at 39c per rights unit. This rights issue is, more or less, expected with a very weak balance sheet.

I have mentioned before that rights issue to fund yield accretive purchases is good for unitholders. However, a rights issue to "strengthen balance sheet" which, basically, acknowledges a weak balance sheet in the first instance is not a good deal. They are asking for money to pay down debts. So, this rights issue lowers both the DPU and distribution yield straightaway.

A unitholder with an investment of 20 lots in the Trust would end up with 31 lots if he subscribes to his entitlement. He would still get the same total quarterly income distribution in dollar terms with 31 lots as he did with 20 lots. A lower DPU and distribution yield. Definitely not a good deal.

Good luck to existing unitholders.

Related post:
CitySpring Infrastructure Trust: Thoughts on divestment.

Read announcement here.

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Mr. Market is always right.

I blogged about my partial divestment of Saizen REIT as price gap closed at 15c. I still retain more than 10% of my original investment in the REIT. See blog post here.

As Saizen REIT was the largest investment in my portfolio, making up some 40% of total funds invested (excluding funds in my frozen portfolio), the amount of money released was no small change. Leaving the money in the bank was not an option with interest paid on savings a paltry 0.1% per annum.

So, at the right time, I moved bulk of the funds into Cache Logistics Trust, First REIT and Sabana REIT. I blogged about these quite a bit too.

See the following blog posts:
Cache Logistics Trust: Accumulate on weakness.
First REIT: Bought more at 73.5c.
Sabana REIT: Bought more at 93.5c.

Another round of income distribution from all three REITs was received in the last few weeks. The unit prices of all three REITs also went up in the same time.

Today's closing prices are:
Cache Logistics Trust: 97c.
First REIT: 79c.
Sabana REIT: 94c.

What does this suggest? Investing in these REITs has been and still is the right thing to do. Mr. Market is always right.

My largest investment in a REIT now is in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT. The unit price has moved up very nicely as well to 22c. So, the units I accumulated at 19.5c, 20c and 20.5c back in March are in the money too.

Recently, I have taken the opportunity to divest partially and I blogged about my reasons for doing so as well. Read it here.

Generally, I am going to hold on to these REITs for their very attractive distribution yields. I could divest some if they become overvalued (based on fundamental analysis) or overbought (based on technical analysis) or both. No reason to divest until then.

This has been another long day as I try to get used to a new routine. This is likely to continue for weeks to come. Physically and mentally exhausted, I am not in the best condition to trade the market. Being more than 80% in REITs, investing for income, is the best strategy for someone in my position now. Good luck to us all.

Related posts:
REITs lower portfolio risk.
Staying positive on S-REITs.

Saizen REIT and Sabana REIT.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Moody’s Investors Service has upgraded Saizen REIT’s corporate family rating to B1 from Caa1 following the conclusion of their rating review.

The stable outlook reflects Saizen REIT's improved liquidity and the absence of material refinancing needs in the next two years.

Read announcement here.


Sabana Real Estate Investment Management Pte. Ltd., the Manager of Sabana Shari’ah Compliant Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust, is pleased to announce the maiden donation of its non-Shari’ah compliant income to the Straits Times Pocket Money Fund and the Embassy of Japan for the relief and reconstruction efforts in Japan.
 
Read announcement here.

Win a fresh Apple iPad 2!

What’s a fresh drink without a fresh look? Marigold PEEL FRESH is celebrating their 25th Anniversary with a range of limited edition packs! And we want you (yes you!) to be part of the fresh face on these juicy packs!


Calling all Singaporeans of all age, gender and walks of life! Send in your Fresh designs and stand a chance to win a fresh Apple iPad 2! Winning entries will be splashed over the 25th Anniversary limited edition packs and the results will be announced at the Fresh at 25 Party on 29 July, 2011!

The Fresh at 25 Party will be a closed door event with celebrities and DJs, so send in your designs to celebrate the juicy goodness and add a fresh face to Marigold PEEL FRESH!

Do it today!

Golden Agriculture: Strong resistance.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

I am still bullish on the long term fundamentals of crude palm oil. The more robust demand for the vegetable oil in emerging economies, especially in China and India, will provide a floor to any correction in price.

A correction? Yes, prices do not go up in a straight line. If prices do move higher, they climb a wall of worries.


The share price of Golden Agriculture is finding it hard to move higher than 68.5c in recent sessions. If we take a look at the daily chart, it becomes clearer why this is so. 68c is where we find the merged 20d, 50d and 100d MAs.

Volume has been relatively thin and we have to bear in mind that share price is moving closer towards the apex of a symmetrical triangle. If volume does not increase with an accompanying push to move price higher, we might see support at 66c broken and price moving lower.

If price were to retest support at 66c, I could buy more shares in the company but it would be a smallish purchase in case price were to move higher. A trend is not over until it is over, after all.

In the meantime, keep an eye on the strong resistance at 68.5c. If that were to be taken out convincingly, we could see 70c next.


Related post:


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