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How I earned $9,216 with a mug? (Or $32,000?)

Saturday, November 16, 2013


Reader:
I used to buy a Mocha Frap every day at work. About a year ago, after reading your blog, I challenged myself to stop. 

For each day I didn't buy a Mocha Frap, I put aside $10. 





I am pleased to report I have managed to put aside more than $2,000 so far. 

The secret is in your blog. 

I got myself a mug and I will earn more than $32,000 with my mug in 16 years! 





If AK can do it, I can do better!

-----------------------
I was making a cup of hot Milo in the office pantry like I sometimes do and the sight of my mug suddenly gave me a warm fuzzy feeling. 

No, it was not from the hot water or the steam.






Nice? 

Got a bit chipped over the years but still nice.

I bought this not long after I started work. 

I needed a mug to use for my tea breaks.

It must have been 15 or 16 years ago by now. 





How much money have I saved in those years by not buying coffee or tea or Milo from the coffee shop (or from Starbucks) on work days?

Conservatively, $288 x 2 x 16 years? 

$9,216? 

Not bad.





Gives a new flavour to the phrase "old is gold". 

OK, who threw something at me? 

Who? Who?




Related post:
Tea with AK71: Some of my stuff (Part 3).

NeraTel: Added to my long position.

Thursday, November 14, 2013

On 22 July 2013, I mentioned that if the 200d MA did not hold, share price could fall to 66c.

The counter closed at 68.5c yesterday.


Could 66c come to pass? Your guess is as good as mine. Remember that TA is about probability, not certainty.

So, I made a smallish addition to my long position.

If price should test 66c support, I will buy more.

Related post:
NeraTel: A voluminous day of fear.

A special chest for emergency funds.

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

I talked about war chests and I talked about emergency funds before. Now, we might keep the latter in a chest as well but it should be designed differently from a war chest.

The chest we keep our emergency funds in should have double or triple locks compared to a war chest! Since we call it an "emergency fund", then, we must make sure that we only open the chest when there is an emergency.

In the meantime, the money will most probably lie fallow. Well, almost, anyway.

What? Remain in a savings account to make a miserable 0.1% in interest per annum? Why don't I invest it in a REIT and make 7% to 8% per annum? Sure, why not?

Before doing that, please redefine what is an "emergency fund". Maybe, it should be "a fund kept for times of need but it might not be there when needed".

An emergency fund has to be money that is close at hand and it has to have certainty. Certainty in uncertainty doesn't count.

So, where should we park our emergency funds?

The best choice is probably a S$ Fixed Deposit. The Deposit Insurance Scheme we have in Singapore provides us with a peace of mind too. Certainty? Certainly.


Read more about the Deposit Insurance Scheme: here.
The Deposit Insurance Scheme protects depositors in the event a DI Scheme member fails by compensating insured deposits up to a maximum of S$50,000.

Related posts:
1. Why a meaningful emergency fund is important?
2. Emergency fund: How much is enough?

Saizen REIT: A special dividend?

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Argyle Street Management, which holds 8.9% of the REIT, said the REIT had 4.86 billion yen (S$61 m) of cash. That figure amounts to 23.5% of the REIT’s market capitalisation as at 29 October 2013. Argyle wants the REIT’s manager, Japan Residential Assets Manager (JRAM), to consider distributing a significant portion of its cash balance to shareholders through a special dividend.
(Source: The Business Times)


Regular readers know that I like Saizen REIT. I got interested in it during the GFC when it was unloved and I have been blogging about it ever since the early days of ASSI. Some might even say that I know the REIT like a friend. Although friends don't give us money regularly, this one does and if Argyle gets its way, I could be getting a bit more.

What do I think of the proposed special dividend?

Well, if it happens, it is a return of capital. Why do I say this? This is not from higher income or earnings. This is to have excess capital returned to unit holders if the REIT's management is unable to find better use for the money.

Actually, for anyone who has been following developments at the REIT, the management had used the money to buy back units from the open market and made a few DPU accretive purchases as well. I like their cautious approach as they don't seem to be buying buildings indiscriminately. Going on a shopping spree would, of course, fatten their pay checks. It is to their credit that they did not do so.

If a capital reduction exercise should happen, Saizen REIT would have less money on hand for any potential DPU accretive purchases. This means that the management would have to use a blend of equity and debt to fund such purchases in future. So, it would be back to square one for unit holders.

However, I should not complain if I am going to be paid money, should I? Better in my bank account than others' or so some would say.


One reason why I am invested in the REIT is because it is grossly undervalued. Depending on the exchange rate we use for the JPY to S$, the REIT was trading at a 20% to 25% discount for much of  2013.

The warrants exercised in the middle of 2012 strengthened the balance sheet of the REIT considerably. The REIT, already undervalued then by some 40%, was made more so because of that.

So, for those who exercised their Saizen REIT warrants back then, they would be taking back some of their own money if a return of capital should happen.

For those who bought into the REIT at a relatively large discount to valuation and who had no warrants to exercise before they expired, they should be grinning broadly as they would be taking some of other people's money with a margin of safety to boot.

Having said this, special dividend or not, Saizen REIT has been a good investment for me and it is likely to get better in the years ahead if Mr. Abe's policies gain traction.

Related posts:
1. Fukushima and investing in Japanese real estate.
2. Saizen REIT: Risk free rate and unit price.
3. 9M 2013 income from S-REITs and more.

Tea with Solace: King Wan Corp. Ltd.

Monday, November 11, 2013

Business Structure
 
King Wan Corporation Limited is a Singapore-based integrated building services Company with principal activities in the provision of mechanical and electrical (M&E) engineering services for the building and construction industry. It also operates in three other business segments, namely Property, Manufacturing and Services.

It operates principally in four business segments:
 
Engineering segment: Provides multi-disciplined M&E engineering services such as the design and installation of electricity distribution systems, fire protection, alarm systems,
communications and security systems, and air-conditioning and mechanical ventilation systems for the building and construction industry;
 
Property segment: Engages in the development, marketing and sale of residential and commercial properties in Singapore, China and Thailand;
 
Services segment: Provides rental and other services for mobile chemical lavatories and other facilities for construction worksites as well as public and nation-wide public events.
 
Vessel owning and chartering segment: Buys suitable vessels for chartering to third
parties.

(Source: King Wan's website.)
 
From M&E Engineering to developing property, providing mobile toilets and even vessel owning, this seems like a Rojak company to me at first glance. However, bearing in mind that a well mixed Rojak can be delicious, I decided to dig further.
 
King Wan's true strength lies in its engineering segments. It has more than 30 years of experience in the building and construction industry and has established a sound and stable foundation. 
 
Within the mechanical & electrical (M&E) space, King Wan is a company that is involved in the fields of electrical, plumbing, air-conditioning and fire protection. Its economies of scale give it a contract-winning cost advantage.
 
Recently, King Wan Corporation won S$26 m worth of new M&E contracts. Total M&E contracts' value stands at S$168.9 million, lasting to 2016. This will keep them busy.  This core segment contributes an estimated S$5 m to S$7 m, which should be sufficient to meet the 1.5 cents of dividends.
 


 
On the property front, King Wan together with TA Corporation, Hock Lian Seng and Far East Distillers Pte Ltd ventured into condo development. They have recently unveiled “The Skywoods” at Dairy Farm Road. Some people believe that Kingwan is late to the party but I believe it is better late than never. I am paying close attention to how this property segment can contribute to their overall performance.
 
In 2013, the company ventured into vessel ownership and chartering business through Gold Hyacinth. The first vessel purchased called “Hai Jin” is a bulk carrier. The vessel has since been chartered to a 3rd party. This operation should contribute to the group’s results in the new financial year, which I am keeping an eye on to see how it can value add.
 
The rental of mobile toilets contributes about 4% of group's total revenue. It provides a diversified and steady income stream.
 
Perhaps, the biggest reason why the stock jumped this year was the announcement of Share Sale Agreements signed with Kaset Thai Industry Sugar (KTIS). KingWan has agreed to sell to KTIS its entire shareholding in Environment Pulp and Paper Company (EPPCO) and Ekarat Pattana Company Limited (EPC), comprising 5 percent in cash and the rest in listed KTIS shares. Barring unforeseen circumstances, KTIS shares are expected to list on the Stock Exchange of Thailand.
 
This event can unlock shareholder value. In the latest announcement, Kaset Thai Industry Sugar (KTIS) has applied for IPO. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in Thailand has allowed KTIS to begin marketing its shares. This adds another level of certainty to the anticipated IPO as well as the declaration of the 1.5 c special dividend.
 

 
Financials Fundamental

 
Market Cap ~ $103M @ $0.295 per share
EPS ~ $2.35 cents
P/B ~ 1.21
NAV ~ $0.2431
PER ~ 12.55x
Dividend Yield ~ 5% (Based on core 1.5c dividend)
Dividend Distribution ~ Aug/Nov Semi-Annual Distribution
Current Ratio: 1.46
Quick Ratio: 1.43
Gross Debt to Total Equity Ratio: 18.3%
 
Conclusions
 
I like the strong core M&E business. The strong order book can sustain a few years of core 1.5 cents dividends.  I like to be rewarded with dividends while I monitor the company growth. Semi-Annual distribution has been consistent even during the crisis year which is good.
 
With the impending listings of the group’s two Thai associates, EPPCO and EPC, the financial position should be boosted. I will be looking closely whether King Wan can explore new investments that can add value to share holders.
 
Some risks are also on my mind. The risk in property development has increased with more cooling measure introduced. We have yet to see result from Vessel Ownership and Chartering business; profits may get dragged if it does not perform well. Revenue will decrease with a lack of contribution from its Thai associates after sale.
 
I would usually write down the reasons for investing in a company. If the company takes a turn for the worse, I take out the piece of paper and analyse whether the reasons for buying the stock still makes sense.
 
For King Wan, if the competitive edge of the engineering segments gets eroded by competition and if the listing of Kaset Thai Industry Sugar (KTIS) gets into trouble, it will be enough for me to admit I made a mistake. This will be the right reasons for me to sell the stock.
 
Disclaimer: The article is my personal opinion and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Any increase in popularity of the stock that leads to an increase in share price will benefit Solace in the long run, Haha.
 
Read other guest blogs by Solace: here.

Yongnam: Substantial shareholder increased stake.

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Delta Lloyd Asset Management on 31 October 2013 bought 1,231,000 shares.

Price? 24.08c a piece.

They now have a total of 115,089,000 shares or a 9.08% interest.


I first made mention of Delta Lloyd Asset Management in the comments section of my blog in January this year and it seems that they have been a persistent buyer. I have probably missed quite a few instances of buying by them since then.

See my comments on their buying activities as well as their rationale for investing in Yongnam (translated from Dutch to English): here.

Related post:
Yongnam: Profit guidance.


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