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Exodus: Gods and Kings.

Friday, December 12, 2014

I was invited to a buffet dinner and a movie treat complete with popcorn and Pepsi.





The movie was educational and entertaining at the same time. Although Biblical, I believe that there are certain lessons here which have universal value.

We should treat every human being equally. It doesn't matter what is the color of our skins.

Efforts to enrich ourselves or to make our lives better should not be at the expense of fellow human beings. Unfortunately, examples of "beggar thy neighbour" are rather common and I am sure all of us have tales to tell.

Related post:
The Amazing Spider Man 2.

A nibble at Wing Tai Holdings Limited.

Thursday, December 11, 2014

On 22 October, I did an incomplete analysis of Wing Tai Holdings Limited to arrive at what I thought would be a nice entry price. 

Any reader who might have missed that and would like to read it, please see the related post at the end of this blog.


Today, I became a shareholder of Wing Tai Holdings Limited. 

Entry price is $1.655, a 56% discount to NAV and a few bids higher than the $1.64 per share that I mentioned on 22 October.

At this price, I am basically paying for their investment properties at book value, their development properties at a huge discount to valuation and I am basically getting their retail businesses for free. 

I shared some of these numbers in my incomplete analysis mentioned earlier.


Technically, the downtrend is intact but the momentum oscillators are forming higher lows. 

So, it seems that the stock could be forming a base and further downside could be limited. 

The chart shows stronger supports are to be found at $1.59 and $1.55 a share.

$1.55 also happens to coincide with the low formed more than 2 years ago on 15 November 2012.

Related post:
An incomplete analysis of Wing Tai Holdings.

Accordia Golf Trust: A distribution yield of 12.16%?

Tuesday, December 9, 2014

Some time in August this year, I was a trader for a day. The stock traded was Accordia Golf Trust. I got in at 78c a unit because I thought I saw a positive divergence in the chart and I subsequently divested at 82 and 82.5c in the same day.


The unit price went higher to touch 92.5c a month later. Some asked if I regretted selling too soon. Well, I entered for a quick trade and I had minimal risk holding on to my position for only a few hours. I made pretty good money when I exited. My action matched my motivation. What's there to regret?

Today, I became a unit holder of Accordia Golf Trust's again. This time, at 74c a unit and it is not a decision based on technicals. This time, it is a decision based on what I think is a safer entry price for the level of income the Trust is expected to distribute to unit holders.


Some might remember that I mentioned 74c in a blog post in July when I wondered at what price was Accordia Golf Trust a buy. The IPO price of 97c a unit was unpalatable to me for various reasons although the Trust promised a 7% distribution yield. I said then that 74c a unit seemed like a more reasonable price to pay for the Trust.

For the 8 months from its listing date, the Trust is expected to distribute 6c per unit to unit holders. Subsequently, the estimate is for a DPU of 6.8c per year. I am of the opinion that the first income distribution is probably safe but I am not so sure about subsequent income distributions. This is the main reason why only a much lower entry price would interest me in the Trust.

The first income distribution will happen in 2Q 2015. It is likely to be in May or June. So, there are still many months before that happens.

Click to enlarge.

Technically, unlike in August when I turned trader for a day, there is much weakness in Accordia Golf Trust's chart. The downtrend that started in late September is very much intact. There is no sign of a positive divergence. There are no reversal signals.

So, it would not surprise me if the Trust's unit price should go lower although it is testing its channel support. 74c is, coincidentally, where we find the 150% Fibo line but support could break and if it should break, the next support is at 72.5c where we find the 161.8% Fibo line.

Related posts:
1. Accordia Golf Trust: A hole in one.
2. Accordia Golf Trust: At what price to buy?
3. How to size our more speculative positions?

2014 full year income from non-REITs.

Sunday, December 7, 2014

This is the first time I am blogging about my full year income from investments in non-REITs. As my passive income generated from investments in S-REITs has for many years overshadowed income received from non-REITs, it wasn't very meaningful to blog about the latter.



Now that passive income received from S-REITs took a plunge, it has become more essential to talk to myself about what I have done in the non-REIT space which has shored up dividends received this year, making income contributions by non-REITs a more significant part of my total annual income from the stock market.


Before I continue, readers might want to bear in mind that a few of my investments in the non-REIT space have been with me for many years. They are not all new investments, therefore.

Anyway, non-REITs which have contributed to my passive income in 2014 are:



1. Croesus Retail Trust
2. Hock Lian Seng
3. Perennial China Retail Trust *
4. CapitaMalls Asia *
5. NeraTel
6. Wilmar
7. Yongnam
8. APTT
9. ST Engineering
10. SPH
11. QAF
12. Old Chang Kee
13. K-Green Trust *
14. SATS
15. Ascendas Hospitality Trust
16. Singapura Finance

* Sold and will not contribute any income in 2015.

New or old, I have blogged about all the above stocks before. So, if you should be interested in understanding why and when I invested in these stocks, just do a search for them in my blog and you will find the relevant blog posts.


Of these 16 stocks, I increased my long positions or initiated long positions in the last 12 to 15 months in Croesus Retail Trust, Hock Lian Seng, NeraTel, ST Engineering, SPH, SATS, Ascendas Hospitality Trust and Singapura Finance

Apart from Singapura Finance, it is quite obvious that I increased or initiated exposure to these stocks because of their relatively attractive dividend yields. I am still an income investor at heart.

I wouldn't say that all the stocks are of the "good to hold forever" variety but it should be obvious to regular readers that I am not averse to selling a stock if I am no longer impressed by its prospects. 

There are many examples which I have blogged about in the past and examples from this year are Perennial China Retail Trust and K-Green Trust in the list shared earlier.

Anyway, the total amount of dividends from non-REITs in 2014 is beefed up mostly by my rather big investment in Croesus Retail Trust which happened when its unit price took a severe beating shortly after its IPO. 

The relatively large increases to my investments in SPH and NeraTel also helped.


Income from non-REITs in 2014:
S$ 61,752.66

This figure could increase in 2015 despite losing the contributions from Perennial China Retail Trust, CapitaMalls Asia and K-Green Trust. This is because Ascendas Hospitality Trust will make a full year income contribution in 2015.

Of course, it is hard to say at this point in time if I could divest partially or fully some of the investments mentioned here in 2015. 

Indeed, I could also put more money to work in the stock market. So, nothing is set in stone. However, I do know that if valuations should go closer to crisis levels, I will be buying more.

I understand that the stock market could get a bit bumpy but my investments for income should provide me with much comfort and also help to fill my war chest in the meantime.

Related posts:
1. 2014 full year income from S-REITs.
2. AK went shopping in the (stock) market.
3. Be comfortable with being invested.
4. Mystical art of wealth accumulation.
5. Portfolio review: Unexpectedly eventful.
"... my decision to increase my level of investment in SPH and NeraTel last year so that my overall portfolio is less reliant on S-REITs for passive income was pre-emptive. Enlarging investments in Hock Lian Seng and Croesus Retail Trust earlier this year has also helped to reduce reliance on S-REITs for passive income."


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