UOB, Prudential and what is financially manageable?

As investors, we recognise that we could make investment mistakes. So, it is important to size our positions appropriately so that if an investment turned out to be a mistake, it would not sink our entire portfolio.

It is partly about making losses financially manageable. So, what is financially manageable?

Well, a more prudent way of interpreting whether something is financially manageable is in terms of cash flow. I know we could also interpret whether something is financially manageable by how much we have in savings.

Well, it is nice to have more assets (and cash is an asset) than liabilities but if we should be in a situation that requires us to draw upon our assets to fund commitments, then, we could find ourselves in trouble in future.

So, before we commit to anything financial, ask if our cash flow is adequate and not just whether we have enough savings to see us through especially if it is going to be a long term commitment that is quite demanding.

What led me to say all these?

A couple of readers sent me a link to this article:
Admin executive paid yearly insurance premiums higher than annual pay.

A 57 year old Mdm. Han bought a Prudential endowment policy from UOB a couple of years ago. She now discovers that the maturity benefit is not 100% guaranteed. She might get a sum that is actually lower than the total premiums she would have paid at maturity.

Pertinent question:
How did she get the impression that the maturity benefit is 100% guaranteed?

It also baffles me why she would commit to a $40,000 annual premium when her salary is about $30,000 a year. She might have been persuaded by the free air-fryer and steamer.

Pertinent question:
Was a thorough fact finding session conducted with Mdm. Han or was someone just in a hurry to sell a policy with a fat annual premium?


I don't have the answers to these questions, of course, but these questions aside, if Mdm. Han had asked the important question "Is this financially manageable?" and knew how to answer the question, she would have avoided such a situation.

Please note that I am not even talking about whether the insurance product is suitable for Mdm. Han. That is another topic altogether.

Related posts:
1. Misled into earning 6.3% interest in 4 years?
2. 6 point response to an expensive lesson.
3. A true story about life insurance and grapes.

Save money and time with a simple meal.

I am a big fan of the microwave oven. A big time saver, it can be used to prepare all sorts of food. I even use it as a steamer.

Today, the ingredients that went into my lunch were:

1. Cauliflower
2. Tofu
3. Extra virgin olive oil
4. Black pepper
5. Garlic salt

We could buy a big head of cauliflower for very little money. For a bit more than $2.00, there is probably enough for 4 servings here:

Tofu, unfortunately, is sold in boxes of 300 gm each and I only used half a box for lunch. I usually pan fry the rest to be eaten later in the day.

Wash the cauliflower and, then, put them in a microwave oven safe container with the tofu. The tofu provides the moisture required to steam the vegetable. Close the container and leave it in the microwave oven on high for 8 minutes or so.

Before.

After.
The cauliflower looks moist and the tofu shrunken.

Be careful in handling the food as it is steaming hot. Transfer onto a plate and add extra virgin olive oil, black pepper and garlic salt. 

There, we are done.

Oh, I had a banana and an apple too. I like to eat spotty bananas because they are less likely to give me gas.

Total cost of the dish? Less than $1, probably. 

The fruits probably cost just as much.

This is one ideal dish for people who are looking to cut down on carbohydrates and meat in their diet. 

For people who say that they would like to save money by cutting down on dining out but think that it is too time consuming to cook at home, this didn't take me much time at all.

Ah, in case you are wondering:

The rest of the tofu. Pan fried with just a bit of butter.

Bon appetit.

Related post:
Suddenly, financial freedom looks less remote.
"Regular readers know that my journey towards financial freedom is anchored upon a philosophy and that philosophy is apparent in my daily life."

ARA Asset Management: Re-initiating long position.

ARA Asset Management was a stock I fully divested more than 3 years ago. 

On hindsight, it was a mistake because deviating from a familiar practice, I did not keep a core position for income. I suppose I was a bit more active as a trader in the past.

I have been waiting for a chance to get back in and the recent plunge in its stock price has provided me with an opportunity to do so.

ARA's EPS for 2014 was 10.35c and DPS was 5c. So, they paid out about 48% of earnings as dividends. 

When looking at ARA's PE ratios in the last few years since 2012, we see a range of about 12x to 22x. Median PE ratio is, therefore, about 17x.

ARA's 1H 2015's EPS came in lower at 4.19c. Could 2H 2015 do better for FY 2015 to beat FY 2014's EPS in aggregate? Of course, your guess is as good as mine. 



If we should simply annualise 4.19c, we get a full year EPS of 8.38c. Multiply that by 17x and we get a price I might buy at which is about $1.42 a share.


At $1.32 a share, I am re-initiating a long position at a PE ratio of 15.75x which is a bit lower than the median of 17x identified earlier. 




Of course, if ARA should deliver an EPS of 10c for FY 2015, $1.32 a share would look much cheaper then (with a PE ratio of 13.2x).

Dividend yield, assuming DPS of 5c remains unchanged, is almost 3.8% with a purchase price of $1.32 a share.

Another stock for income and growth? Good to accumulate at lower prices? Perhaps so.


Related post:
ARA: Divestment $1.30 and $1.32.