I recently started to blog about NeraTel and revealed that I increased my investment in the company. Someone asked me what led me to increase the size of my long position when I did since its share price shot up shortly after I made my move. Did I have inside information?
Well, I cannot say for sure if I did have a distant relative or two in Myanmar or not. Such is the reach of the Chinese diaspora. However, I am quite sure that I do not have the benefit of knowing anyone who might be in the know with regards to the Telco contracts awarded by the Myanmar government recently.
Indeed, increasing my investment in NeraTel had much more innocent motivations.
I have been blogging for some time about how the very low interest rates cannot persist forever and that they will one day rise. I have also cautioned that we should not be overly optimistic when it comes to real estate investments in Singapore and also S-REITs. I also cautioned that putting money in long term bonds is probably risky.
So, what is someone who is investing for income to do?
A big portion of my investment portfolio is in income investing. I got into S-REITs in a big way during the GFC and bought more of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and Sabana REIT in late 2011 when prices took a hit. Whenever prices took a hit, I would buy more. For example, I quadrupled my investment in Saizen REIT in mid 2012 when its warrants were close to expiring and its unit price plunged. Conditions were benign for REITs and buying more with an increased margin of safety was, well, safe.
Now, with the spectre of increasing interest rates on the horizon, the sea that is called REITs could become less placid. It could become choppy. Of course, thinking that REITs will go the way of the Dodo simply because interest rates are going to rise is ridiculous. However, not recognising that S-REITs will face headwinds as interest rates rise in future is myopic.
So, the 10x increase in my long position in NeraTel stems from a need to look for alternative investments which are high yielding but with a low or zero probability of being affected negatively by interest rate hikes. My decision to increase my investment in SPH instead of taking part in SPH REIT's IPO, honestly, has this consideration as well.
I like the comfort that comes from having a steady stream of dependable passive income and this remains my biggest motivation for investing in the stock market. The following graphic gives a good idea of how I think.
My investments for income, together with my war chests, form the wide base of the pyramid. On top of these but smaller in total value are my investments in certain stocks for growth and income or for growth only. At the tip of the pyramid and also representing the smallest total value are more speculative investments which sounds like an oxymoron, doesn't it?
Certainly, like I have always said, there is no one correct way to growing our wealth in the stock market and I am not trying to say otherwise by showing the above graphic. My methods which are by no means immutable simply reflect my motivations for investing in the stock market.
1. Never lose money in real estate?
2. Be cautious climbing S-REIT tree.
3. CPF or SGS?
4. Perpetual bonds: Good or bad?
5. For those who have paid higher prices.