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Investor psychology and beating our fears.

Friday, February 17, 2017


This blog is a follow up to an earlier blog titled:
Increased investment in Religare Health Trust by more than 150%.


This is in response to a request by Reader A.

READER A.
 We should expect volatility in prices. In fact, we should welcome it as investors. If we do not have the stomach for volatility, stocks could be a bad place for our money.
READER B.
In a situation like that, apart from having an idea of what is a decent price to pay, how do we prepare ourselves mentally to pull the trigger?

Ask: To what extent can we afford to be totally wrong?

After all, if we are totally wrong, we could lose all the money we invested. Can we stomach that?

It is all about having peace of mind as investors. If you have forgotten or have never read my blog on that before. Read it: HERE.


Remember:

1. Don't use borrowed funds.

2. Don't use funds earmarked for other purposes.

Use only money we can afford to lose and meant for investing for income.

Even though it is money we can afford to lose, ask: How much of it can we lose without losing our minds if things should go wrong?

Of course, we want to avoid being wrong. We try our best to get our facts and reasoning correct.  However, despite our best effort, we could still be wrong.

We want to be greedy when others are fearful but we don't want to be so greedy that we throw prudence out the window.

The resulting monetary loss from being wrong must be something we can stomach easily.

Otherwise, don't be in doubt. We really should stay out.

5 comments:

Jingle Bell said...

Hi AK,
In the absence of news on what could have caused the drastic fall in price of RHT that day, how certain when you pull the trigger to buy that there may be negative reports (e.g Noble situation) which could have affected the fundamentals of the company. After all, we are retail investors who may not know first hand info.

Thank you for sharing.
JB

Jingle Bell said...

Hi AK,

Not sure my previous comment was published as I accidentally clicked something. When the price of RHT fall drastically the other day, what went through your mind? In your previous post, you mentioned you had a price in mind, that is first step and your analysis of company based on recent reports. But in the absence of 'NEW' news that causes the plunged (e.g possible negative reports like Noble case), how certain were you in pulling the trigger to buy? Were there doubts? After all, we are retail investors who may not have the first hand info.

Thank you for your sharing.

JB

AK71 said...

Hi JB,

The answer to your question is in the blog.

Read the parts in BOLD print again. ;)

Jingle Bell said...

AK , thank you for your reply. I have re-read your blog again, JB understand slow slow...haha.
By the way, how often do you review the company you bought? Every quarter after result announce? Or every day , check for annoucements?
JB

AK71 said...

Hi JB,

I try to keep up with the announcements but, often, I am a bit slow. :)

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